Bitcoin slips under $80,000 as traders de-risk ahead of Fed meeting
Ether and XRP led losses among the majors as the AI trade took another hit in Asia, where Goldman Sachs cut its Kospi target by 25%.
Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to about $79,800 as of Monday Asian morning hours as traders cut risk ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve meeting and another leg down in the AI trade weighed on tech stocks across the region.
Selling hit almost every major token. Ether dropped nearly 3% to just above $2,300, and XRP lost about 3% to $1.28. SOL slid 2% and is barely holding $100. DOGE, ZEC, HYPE and BNB each fell 1% to 2%, while TRX was the only major in the green, up less than 1%, according to CoinDesk data.
“This week, all eyes are on the Fed meeting and it already seems like investors are de-risking as Bitcoin falls below the $80k mark. While the Fed probably won’t change rates this week, we’re watching how strongly the chair hints at a December hike — that’s what matters for crypto,” Jeff Mei, chief operating officer at crypto exchange BTSE, said in an email to CoinDesk.
“Given record high oil prices, the escalating US-Iran conflict, and inflation, the Fed could very well adopt an aggressive tone, which means higher rates and less liquidity for crypto and stocks,” he added.
The Fed announces its decision on Wednesday, and traders will be listening to Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference for any hint that a hike is coming in December. Higher rates make borrowing more expensive and tend to pull money out of riskier assets like crypto.
In Asia, the AI selloff kept going. South Korea’s Kospi, which traders watch for AI sentiment because of how much weight chipmakers like Samsung Electronics carry in it, fell 1% after Goldman Sachs strategists cut their 12-month target for the index by 25%. Chip stocks were the biggest losers on Japan’s Nikkei, and Chinese AI model developers slumped. Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.1% as investors braced for earnings from the biggest U.S. tech companies this week.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 0.1%, and it’s struggling to recover from four straight weeks of losses, its longest losing run since April.
Oil gave markets a bit of relief. Brent crude fell 2% from a six-month high to about $114 a barrel after President Donald Trump said it’s “getting to be decision time” on whether to reach a deal with Iran or resume attacks. Treasuries rose.
Bitcoin needs to get back above $82,500, the floor it lost last Thursday, before buyers can call this week’s dip a pause.
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Asanat Analysis — Why it matters
Bitcoin's drop below $80k reflects macro risk-off positioning ahead of Fed policy clarity, a pattern repeated across risk assets. The concurrent Ether and XRP underperformance signals altcoin sensitivity to broader liquidity conditions—these typically compress when uncertainty spikes and traders unwind leveraged positions. Goldman's 25% Kospi cut indicates institutional conviction that Asian equities face structural headwinds, which historically correlates with crypto volatility as yen carry trades unwind and regional capital flight accelerates.
The AI trade decline mentioned is significant: it suggests the narrative rotation from 'AI as sector tailwind' to 'AI as crowded trade' is hardening, particularly among risk-conscious players. This de-risking cycle often precedes rate-dependent assets testing support levels. For crypto specifically, Fed meeting outcomes matter less for directional catalyst than for volatility regime change—tighter monetary conditions or hawkish surprise would likely extend the current pullback, while dovish signals could stabilize but not immediately reignite risk appetite given the macro uncertainty priced into equities already.